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The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
October 20, 2003


Story by: Eric Theis


Welcome back to this week's installment of The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly, a weekly snapshot into the week that was in the NHL. In order to provide loyal readers with the most well rounded product, I have added a "Honourable Mention" section to the column. I felt there needed to be a place for recognition of achievement in spite of greater failure, that doesn't quite seem to fit in the top bracket of the ratings. Also I never won anything as a hockey player, so this section fills me with a sense of familiarity, where those who try their best get recognized too. Anyway here we go:

The Good

Ilya Kovalchuk 3 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP (19 SOG), -1

"If only the Atlanta Thrashers could always be on the power play" is a sentiment being repeated by all Ilya Kovalchuk owners so far this season. Since the lost of Thrashers forward Dany Heatley to injury, Kovalchuk has assumed quarterbacking duties at the point anytime Atlanta has the man advantage. The result? Well there have been nights like Saturday vs. Chicago, when Kovalchuk came away with a hat trick; all three goals being scored with Chicago down a man. There will also be nights when Kovalchuk and company give up some shorthanded goals to the opposition, especially with the young Russian still finding his legs in his new role. However you cannot argue with results: Kovalchuk has 4 PPP in 5 total games, with more surely to come. Be prepared for the correspondingly high plus/minus though.

Marian Hossa 3 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 1 PPP (10 SOG), 2 PIM, +1

You knew it was just a matter of time didn't you. Without a goal to show for his efforts in the first week of the season, many wondered if the 45 goals Hossa accumulated last season was an aberration or not. To answer his critics, Hossa lit the lamp in consecutive games against Anaheim and San Jose. Without a doubt you can expect more of the same in following weeks. This is a very good Senators team, with a dangerous power play - and Hossa has yet to score with the man advantage. Something to work on for next week I'm sure.

Lubomir Visnovsky 2 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 3 PPP (4 SOG), -1

I mention Visnovsky here for several reasons. First and foremost, he had a great week overall, providing key points for a Kings team still missing its two top scoring forwards. Secondly, and of most interest to fantasy managers is the fact that Visnovsky is a defenseman in a league bereft of depth on the blueline (magnified by the loss of fantasy stud Derian Hatcher earlier this week). Is he the second coming of Ray Borque? History says no: Visnovsky's career high for points was 39 in his rookie campaign in 00-01 (7 G, 32 A, + 16), and a potential breakout season last year was marred by injury, limiting the 27 year old to only 57 games played. This year might be different. Visnovsky has had his ice time increased this year, and is seeing more and more time at the point on the Kings power play, currently ranked 9th in the NHL. The result so far has been a six-point effort, placing Visnovsky in a tie for 1st in scoring amongst all NHL defensemen. If he can stay healthy all season, Visnovsky could have a significant fantasy impact this year. Keep your eye on him if you are in need on the blue line.

Honourable Mention:

Todd Marchant 3 GP, 2 G, 3 A, 2 PPP, 1 GWG (9 SOG), 2 PIM, +1

The good news: Marchant has been excellent for Columbus so far. The bad news: the teams Columbus has faced so far are a combined 10 - 10 -5. Expect Marchant to return to earth as the opposition improves.

Mike Dunham 2 GP, 0 W, 0 L, 2 T, 2 GA, .967 SV%, 1 SO

It is going to be a very long season for Mike Dunham. In two straight outings, New York Rangers netminder was brilliant, earning two ties and a shutout behind an otherwise dreadful Rangers team that could only manage two goals in both games combined. Can you still qualify for the Vezina Trophy if your team record is 0 - 28 - 54 - 0, but you sport a 2.22 GA, and a .913 SV% in goal? So far, the Rangers seem ready to do their part for Dunham; the question is whether Dunham has the staying power to keep his end of the bargain.

The Bad

Owen Nolan 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A (3 SOG), 0 PIM, -1

I know, I know, this is two weeks in a row that I have singled out a Maple Leaf player for this dubious distinction. However something is not right with the former Sharks captain. There are always reasons to explain a sudden lack of success from an otherwise elite player: a clash with management, an inability to adjust to a new team or city, or a lack of surrounding talent. Yet none of these seem to fit as justification for Nolan's current scoring drought. The only remaining possibility is that Nolan's back is more of an impediment then he or the Leafs would have us believe. This rationale makes more sense if you look at Owen's penalty minutes: none so far this season. Nolan, like other big power forwards, utilizes his size and strength to outfight for position in front of the net, or to come up with the puck in the corner. This kind of game usually results in 90 - 100 PIM per year, yet Nolan has yet to spend alone time in the penalty box. Be wary of his play over the next few games; if this trend continues, expect IR time for Nolan, or worse.

Derian Hatcher 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A (1 SOG), 0 PIM, -1

For all of those who believe that Sabermetrics (the mathematical and statistical analysis of baseball) has equal value for hockey, here is and equation for you:

One $4,200,000-a-season deal + 3 GP = One ACL tear, with a 4 - 6 month vacation in rehab.

Nuff said.

The Ugly

Anson Carter 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A (1 SOG), 2 PIM, Even

Representing the best of the worst this week is New York Rangers forward Anson Carter. Carter, lined up alongside talented veterans Eric Lindros and Martin Rucinsky this season, managed just one shot in SEVEN, count them, SEVEN periods of hockey last week (including 4:18 on the power play). Not that is linemates have overachieved in spite of him (tallying just a single point through 4 games), but Carter simply isn't this bad. Remember that Carter has posted back to back 60 point campaigns from 2001-2003, and neither he, Coach and GM Glen Sather, nor what few fans the Rangers still call their own can be happy with the product as displayed by the former Oiler thus far. Maybe it is just another case of the intangible adversity that seems to come from playing for the Rangers, but Carter needs to step it up before his $2,400,000 salary becomes to large a price to pay for zero production.





 

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